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Miscellaneous Tokyo Thoughts

BasiltheBatLord

Well-Known Member


Dont know how legit

It's sourced from this Wrap article.

No idea how real it is, although over on the Shanghai subforum it seems Martin has verified that this same article correctly named the codename for the Shanghai second gate. If true I wonder what they're thinking as far as location in Tokyo. They'll need to secure new land somehow.

Star Wars as a major anchor is a little hard for me to believe considering it's comparatively niche in Japan. Marvel I can understand more as I know it's being used as the primary strategy for driving up the male demographic. (TDR guest demographic is almost 80% female).
 

Pizza Moon

Well-Known Member


Dont know how legit

Whether it’s that or not is irrelevant.

It’s very obvious they once the cruise ship is online and proven viable, and the Adventureland and Port Discovery redos are done there is just so little left to truly expand without just hiking up prices.

Reclaiming land for a new park would likely cost $1 billion, but it would obviously be worth it.

Plus, their existing parks are overcrowded as-is.
 

Gusey

Well-Known Member
It's sourced from this Wrap article.

No idea how real it is, although over on the Shanghai subforum it seems Martin has verified that this same article correctly named the codename for the Shanghai second gate. If true I wonder what they're thinking as far as location in Tokyo. They'll need to secure new land somehow.
To be fair, the codename for 2nd gate has been out there for a bit now, so was easy to find. Of the three rumours to come out of the article, this one seems the most implausible, but also the only one I haven't seen suggested anywhere else beforehand
 

IMDREW

Well-Known Member
Tbh, that article sounds like a load of bs to me. Based on lots of speculation. But we'll see. How trustworthy is the wrap? The whole Villains article also had many holes and far fetching in it.
 

BasiltheBatLord

Well-Known Member
To be fair, the codename for 2nd gate has been out there for a bit now, so was easy to find. Of the three rumours to come out of the article, this one seems the most implausible, but also the only one I haven't seen suggested anywhere else beforehand
Thanks, wasn't aware that name was public info already.
 

Pizza Moon

Well-Known Member
A third park at Tokyo is logical, would cost a billion, maybe more but not much more to reclaim the land, and a lot of the infrastructure for it would already be there.

Totally realistic.

If you have 200+ waits for like 5 of your rides at your “secondary park” yeah, you’re seriously thinking about building a new one in a way that works out ROI-wise.

The new cruise ship and maxing out their existing has been the priority for that reason, but I could totally see a new park opening after Adventureland Port Discovery. TDL’s Fantasyland could use an update as Arabian Coast could use an Aladdin ride, but outside of going full on land building in Rivers of America or the Lost River Delta expansion plot, they’ve basically run out of room by the 2030s, and I don’t think it makes sense to do the new “land plots” at either park before they do a third park, as maybe you want to add something there in the distant future with some IPs that are less popular but fit better, you know, or IPs like Star Wars and Avatar would just work better as a “Sky park”.

My guess is the same conversations will happen to Disneyland and then WDW next decade.

Only a matter of time, but for now, I’d expect this to be the next property after Shanghai to get another park, followed by Disneyland.

My guess is Paris gets delayed again but by less than a decade in favor of continuing to expand DAW post Avatar (if that’s the direction they go) as well as add a major expansion to DLP first. I mean, that seems to be Tokyo and DLR’s strategy atm.
 

Pizza Moon

Well-Known Member
Tbh, that article sounds like a load of bs to me. Based on lots of speculation. But we'll see. How trustworthy is the wrap? The whole Villains article also had many holes and far fetching in it.
I don’t think what that publication says is relevant, but just that they nail the accurate reality that a third park at Tokyo is absolutely happening, in the same vein that barring an economic collapse/pandemic/WW3 expansions in the 2030s are coming to WDW well beyond what they’ve currently announced, as we’ll be at the second half of their spending round.

Capacity. Capacity. Capacity.

Tokyo faces a choices: raise ticket prices far more or actually expand. The Tokyo parks peak at having worse day’s than MK’s New Years and and they happen far more often, despite being a superior experience park-wise, the crowds during Golden Week, October, Christmas, and other periods are so ridiculous that they’ve been seriously considering a third park since before Fantasy Springs. But it’s like similar to other resorts, you might as well build-out the parks better before you build more as the infrastructure cost is insane.

The latter makes far more sense from a brand perspective to not punish fans through price increases. It’s a no-brainer. Shanghai would also benefit from pulling people from its main park for a second park, which is why that’s happening. It’s just cheaper to do since they already have the land, and they didn’t have other projects like a cruise ship to get distracted with, but that diversification is great thing for the company. OLC has made the right moves IMO, but I’d raise ticket prices past $100 for peak pricing already.

And Epic Universe just proved that if you build it right, yeah, it explodes the growth at your property, with only minimal cannibalism that actually can be a positive thing to some degree as it helps with peak crowds, which probably is far more accurate at Tokyo where the parks are far more built-out and busier, and also overcrowded.

I just wonder if this ends up costing upwards of $10 billion if they want to do it right, and add a couple hotels, maybe a water park, and the infrastructure and land costs. Surely I’d think OLC would spend $6 Billion or more at this point on the park itself at a minimum, maybe more.

So it’s like, spend billions on cruises and continuing another round of park expansion and then go all-in.

I just wonder how soon they’d announce it. Like I doubt it’s soon, but if they want it open say by 2035-40, do they announce it in 2031? 2028? This year?

My guess is later, but we’ll see. No way it isn’t a long-term plan though, would defy logic.
 
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Nickm2022

Well-Known Member
honestly I could easily see Tokyo spending the money for a third park and continuing their current investments given how much money they've been spending. I also could see Disney doing Paris with the simple argument of if Abu Dhabi, Paris, Shanghais' Atlas, and Sky all shared at least 1-3 lands or rides would keep cost down
 

Robbiem

Well-Known Member
honestly I could easily see Tokyo spending the money for a third park and continuing their current investments given how much money they've been spending. I also could see Disney doing Paris with the simple argument of if Abu Dhabi, Paris, Shanghais' Atlas, and Sky all shared at least 1-3 lands or rides would keep cost down

There is a lot of land near Tokyo disneysea with warehouses and sports fields. I have no idea who owns it but it may be possible to relocate and have some more landfill to make room for a third park. Potentially it could use the Disneysea infrastructure like the monorail to save some costs.
 

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BrianLo

Well-Known Member
The company is still evaluating a second cruise ship from my last awareness.

Albeit land acquisition through some means would require very long term planning. Epic was on their radar for over a decade.

Late 2030’s wouldn’t be totally unreasonable or unrealistic with the direction of their resort. After another ship and round of major investment. We might hear something insofar as OLC is a bit more transparent, but again something quite far out. Having IP or a direction lined up strikes me as bunk before they’d even have land.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Albeit land acquisition through some means would require very long term planning. Epic was on their radar for over a decade.
Universal first acquired the south campus property in the late 90s. They even said it was for another park shortly after Islands of Adventure opened. They then changed their plans, sold the land, changed plans again and bought it back. And even when they bought it back, Epic Universe was originally envisioned as a longer term project before being moved ahead to 2023.

Back in the early 2000s the Disneyland Resort had thirdthemepark.com touting a future park on the Strawberry Fields now Toy Story Parking Lot.

Even Tokyo DisneySEA is on a plot that was part of the original land reclamation project back in the 70s.
 

SweetDuffy101

Well-Known Member
Any chance they reclaim more land?
nope.
Even if they built a 3rd it will be outside of maihama an interview few years back they said. They want to focus on possible locations within Japan region.

Question is Where?
from my theory, they will use DCLJPN to connect the 3rd gate wherever they choose the location.

Best location i can think of geographically is Kisarazu city in Chiba prefecture.
Where it has transportation hub and a nearby port that is situated within the Tokyo bay region.

it has direct access to key locations such as Yokohama and train that goes directly to Narita international airport.

There are also a key attractions within the area and undeveloped land.
Another candidate is hokkaido and Aomori prefectures.

one mayor approached OLC few years ago with its strategic tourism location for a port partnership with the Cruise line.
 

Animaniac93-98

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
I didn't realize Dumbo was closed for a 6-7 month refurbishment?

Is anything changing with the ride's appearance? Are they finally adding more ride vehicles?
 

Pizza Moon

Well-Known Member
Universal first acquired the south campus property in the late 90s. They even said it was for another park shortly after Islands of Adventure opened. They then changed their plans, sold the land, changed plans again and bought it back. And even when they bought it back, Epic Universe was originally envisioned as a longer term project before being moved ahead to 2023.

Back in the early 2000s the Disneyland Resort had thirdthemepark.com touting a future park on the Strawberry Fields now Toy Story Parking Lot.

Even Tokyo DisneySEA is on a plot that was part of the original land reclamation project back in the 70s.
It’s interesting because Tokyo DisneySea, if you adjust it for inflation it cost someplace between $6-6.5 billion dollars. It was around $2.7B originally, worse than regulation inflation too because construction costs increases have outpaced it.

Epic cost what, like $8B in the end plus some cost overruns? Tho they had to build the complex’s infrastructure which DisneySea didn’t since it is its own thing including many new facilities even for their existing parks, which would’ve been in the hundreds of millions of that at least just for the park, and I assume it likely includes the entire complex not just the park’s facilities, which was a big difference too, tho I don’t know.

It’s also only that low, at $6B today for DisneySea because deflation in Japan and PPP differences, specifically. Shanghai also would’ve cost more had it been made in America but Japan probably is even more of an outlier due to their unique economic circumstances for cost. It would cost upwards of $6B to build Tokyo DisneySea in America today almost without question, I’d imagine closer to Epic levels.

And DisneySea only opened with 2 E-tickets, arguably.

Epic has what, like 4 even if you don’t even include Mario Kart or a Donkey Kong? I mean, even today, with billions in expansions DisneySea will still have 220+ minute waits for its top 5 rides on peak days, Epic’s 180 waits for at most 3 of its rides doesn’t seem so horrifying for a brand new park anymore😂

Much rather this than DLP that plunges us into a dark age. We’re legitimately seeing the golden age of theme parks: competition is so wonderful!

Budget definitely went more towards rides at Epic, details in MiraCosta are way better than Helios, and a much larger emphasis on a berm, sightlines and positioning itself by the ocean to integrate with it, by a mile for example, but both the parks have similarly scaled lands and just stupid theming.

They’re really the only two parks in the world on that level, in that way in my opinion.

AK’s expansive, but the actual walking areas that are themed are actually pretty small, overall, which is sort of how they were able to get away with doing AK, for under a billion. It simply forgot to open with rides, or even multiple lands😂

It also sort of shows that when there’s a will there is a way. While there’s less access to cheap land in LA and Tokyo, they do have plots of land at Disneyland they could use or just buy property elsewhere. Tokyo can do the same, more likely just reclaim it. About $1-1.5 to do it, absolutely would be justified if they’re spending $8-10 on it.

Like easily.

What this does show however, is that a Tokyo DisneySea-level park today IS MORE VIABLE THAN EVER, and Disney had totally been selling themselves short for decades💀
 
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HauntedPirate

Park nostalgist
Premium Member
Everyone reading this thread trying to figure out how the OLC-reported construction cost for Tokyo DisneySea of 335 billion yen in 2001 ($2 billion USD) is somehow an inflation-adjusted $6-6.5 billion USD in 2026:

Confused Robert Downey Jr GIF


Aka. It's not true. Not even close to true.
 

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